Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 6.657052 7.515822 8.457654 9.569598 10.849505 12.280074 14.004999
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.432258 6.561066 7.896898 9.603352 11.738128 14.337148 17.766265
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.594609 5.840547 7.403228 9.525548 12.361030 16.058510 21.310324
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.189069 5.558935 7.363652 9.946854 13.601056 18.663474 26.345268
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.740949 5.142537 7.065524 9.941359 14.210614 20.439125 30.447782
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.362257 4.764894 6.758278 9.856080 14.655355 21.988541 34.399843
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.917140 4.238052 6.170197 9.269543 14.244893 22.148382 36.127862
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.701743 4.024438 6.016348 9.316299 14.810244 23.895444 40.722798
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.578697 3.935787 6.038506 9.634486 15.841785 26.528212 47.266210
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.441367 3.809317 5.984476 9.814233 16.649551 28.866474 53.637763
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.309078 3.677243 5.905709 9.937574 17.363404 31.116087 60.198436
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.184626 3.545993 5.813883 10.023619 18.011593 33.316355 67.019590
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.011048 3.321127 5.548715 9.781691 18.036999 34.359423 71.691584
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.885127 3.167910 5.394736 9.728366 18.420441 36.172633 78.405901
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.764160 3.013220 5.223924 9.623735 18.685881 37.774126 84.937200
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.727048 3.005168 5.318119 10.041976 20.075716 41.986655 98.594621
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.636622 2.891882 5.205656 10.034053 20.557870 44.249317 107.829259
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.544472 2.768095 5.062386 9.947181 20.854405 46.123974 116.435571
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.401357 2.537552 4.694456 9.354347 19.944997 45.004536 116.623976
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.341916 2.463784 4.629364 9.401530 20.511407 47.569524 127.806634
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.315634 2.452545 4.687919 9.722996 21.762968 52.050060 145.685317
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 1.276402 2.412536 4.684163 9.904606 22.699380 55.864682 162.475815
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 1.234111 2.363210 4.656842 10.029230 23.509831 59.473394 179.530188